Libs of TikTok is the username of various American anti-LGBTQ and far-right social-media accounts operated by Chaya Raichik – Wikipedia
Just a PSA that it’s a creepy source, so don’t trust it much.
It does explain the weird way that the question answers itself at the end without its author seemingly realising it. There aren’t the numbers to make it mathematically plausible to shift further right if you’re already at that extreme.
Ummm, excuse me, the Gulf of WHAT?
It’s like some people don’t want to obey the divine procomations of Dear Leader. In my household we already refer to the so called Alantic and Pacific Oceans as The Trump Ocean and ThePresident DJT Ocean so he knows that we support everything he commands!
I would say 100%. Thanks for playing the probability of past events game.
Even ignoring the past event thing, the chance is very high, because the events are naturally correlated. Everybody felt the same raised fuel prices.
Now if it was the chance of uncorrelated events, the chance would be essentially zero.
High because it’s difficult to get more people into the cult when there are already so many of them.
Actually, his cult has shrunk. By a lot. It’s been some popcorn-munching fun as a cult survivor.
… well, in a disaster-movie way, and I hate living in the disaster movie. But nodding and going, “Yep. Yep, you found out your life is a lie. Aaaand there’re the tears, the mental breakdown. Just let it all out, honey.”
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less of a Fwooosh! and more of a…
CHAK-THOOM!!
Looks like Cookie Monster.
America looking like I just woke up and my eyes still need to adjust focus
Awful map design oh my god
Anyone have a memed version of this
Tactical bluke
Just remember when reading this image: “shift to democrat” doesn’t mean that county was won by democrats. It could also be a shift from 19% democratic in 2024 to 22% in 2026
Most importantly, Democrats didn’t “win”! Trump just sabotaged the GOP. What are the chances EVERY Democrat ran a flawless campaign and pulled this off in unison.
I pray next that Democrats seize this once in a lifetime opportunity. Americans cried out “make the last 2 years impossible again!” That is the mandate, not business as usual.
Democrats didn’t “win”! Trump just sabotaged the GOP.
Democrats have been building momentum in the state since the disaster of 2014. Dem turnout has climbed from the 1.4M low water mark that year. An enormous part of that was driven by the Beto engagement strategies and permanent campaign apparatus begun in 2018.
By comparison, NY Dems turnout out 3.4M voters in '26. California turned out 5.1M. Texas Dems turned out 5.4M.
Compare Texas to Florida, Virginia, Ohio… Nobody came close. This was as dramatic a swing as the elections in Hungary and Serbia. And all credit goes to Texas locals, who organized cadres fully independent of the national party.
Texas isn’t as red as people think. The GOP took over the Texas legislature for the first time ever in 2003, and gerrymandered the shit out of it to prevent themselves from losing the state. The majority of the US House delegation from Texas were Democrats from the founding of the state through 2002. Then in 2004, the gerrymandering allowed them to flip it from majority-Democrat to 2/3 Republican.
And we have to keep it going. For as long as ive lived in the state its been purple, but overwhelmingly went red because of gerrymandering, and more importantly lack of engagement by democratic voters. They felt it was pointless, because republicans always win, and controlled so much of the government. I assumed even if dems turned out that there would be shenanigans to prevent a republican loss. Yet here we are.
I’m still surprised. I’m waiting for the Texas legislature to do some lame duck shenanigans to strip power from the governor and lt governor at least
I know theyre already looking to strip the power to set the agenda in the legislature from the lt. Governor.
^This. This. And this. I wish the blue tsunami was an awakening of the American people who have learned their lesson from their brush with fascism. They realize human rights apply to all humans, that the rule of law is fundamental to a functioning society, that capitalism needs guardrails.
They didn’t. They voted to oust the party who impacted them personally. And if gas prices and interest rates go down a bit, they’ll be right back to their usual identity politics.
I was wrong about the midterm. I didn’t think the Dems had a hope in hell of winning both houses of Congress. I hope I am wrong about this and Dems get off their asses, work to restore rule of law and immediately shift to real governmental reform to prevent this kind of slide to fascism and corruption much harder. We have done it before, so that gives me hope.
Oh Fascism isn’t what was brought by Trump and company as the US has had many fascist qualities since the term was invented. What Trump brought was a dose of Neoauthoritarianism. We are still heading in that direction.
My friend said this pattern has happened to every single US president ever except J bush (they lost the midterm elections to the opposing party on their second term). Is there data and facts on it?
Yes the president usually loses the midterms that’s true, however usually not at THIS scale
To be fair, most presidents don’t strap oil prices to a rocket and send them into fuckin orbit.
Presidents not labeled here, but you can look those up separately to figure out what you want: https://history.house.gov/Institution/Majority-Changes/Majority-Changes/
Thank you
Clinton did fine in 98. Reagan did fine in 86
Not sure if you’re joking? Those elections didn’t work out for the president’s party
I’m more looking for actual stats
Did you find them?
Our friend provided this link: https://history.house.gov/Institution/Majority-Changes/Majority-Changes/
I think the intro answers it:
the House has changed majorities in a midterm election a little more than one-third of the time. But of the total 19 House majority changes in that time span, including presidential and midterm election years, more than three-quarters have occurred during a midterm.
This dumb bitch. Republicans control Texas & the federal government until January. Did they steal the election from themselves?
No need to call her a bitch ^^
Eh. Loomer has been advocating for mass deportation of Muslims for her entire career.
The shoe fits.
Okey so she is a rasist freak no need for the sexsist “shoe” :)
Nah, she’s a bitch. You’re free not to use that word, I’m free to use it, c’est la vie. Unless you’d have preferred I call her a cunt, because I’d be happy to oblige.
Anyone can be a cunt. I actually would prefer that. A cunts a cunt, everyone knows one.
Bitch is what some knuckedragger yells at a woman when she rejects him again
I call men bitches daily.
That’s fair. The way I see it, dick, bitch, cunt, asshole, cock etc all mean the same thing. You’re effectively calling someone a jerk. Getting nitpicky over which is ok - and which isn’t - is a waste of energy in my book. Just because somebody else uses the word more virulently doesn’t somehow mean everyone who calls someone a bitch is evil. Part of language is intent and context. If I called a woman a bitch because she was intense or intimidating, that’d be out of line. If I call someone a bitch because they write stupid shit like this and run an account like that, I feel like I’m doing alright.
You raise valid points, and context definitely matters, but I think when it comes to language it should be decided by the consensus within the minority it was originally used to describe.
For example, most of the disabled community agrees “r-tard” is offensive these days, so it’s use has gone down. Just like “gay” before it. And white folks still argue the n-word should be fine for everyone to use if they end it with an a.
I’m not saying minorities can’t reclaim words, and language definitely changes with time. But most women I interact with get uncomfortable when men around them say “bitch” routinely.
Its a realy sexist word you can hate her all you want but this kinda language affects all women :(
Words exist in context. If I called my female boss a bitch because I perceived her as domineering or demanding, that’d be out of line. If I call someone a dumb bitch for running one of the most toxic accounts on social media posting nonsensical disinformation, that’s very different. While I understand that being called a bitch can be very hurtful, I’m not calling you one, I’m calling someone else one, so being offended on their behalf is silly. I’m not gonna censor myself because someone might have a negative association with a word. And before someone says “I’ve heard the same logic applied to the n word” cool well I’m not applying it to the n word, I already don’t say that so I don’t need to censor myself.
Just take the bitch part away and substitute it for something else like retard or the nword and think for a second how the usage of this word can still affect the broader demographic
Bruh. Are you really gonna act like bitch is on the same level of offensiveness as the n word? You’re either being retarded or disingenuous.
Did i say bitch is on the same lvl as the nword? Please read my comment again and just try to make sense of it :)
Etymologically speaking bitch refers only to women, but in modern usage the pejorative is used for both genders
It’s pejorative for men because it implies you are a woman, you fuckwit
What’s next, are you going to say “pussy” is unacceptable for the same reason!?!?
jk I know you and wezzzy are right.
Not the women who aren’t bitches, since it’s not directed at them.
Can you think of any way at all how using a gender based slur might be harmfull to te gender it is reffering to even if its used against the oposit gender
I’ve seen people use that exact justification for the n-word.
If you’re really gonna try and act like bitch and the n word exist on the same plane of cruelty and offensiveness you’re just being flatly disingenuous.
Cool, good thing I’m not then.
Cope, seethe, mald, etc. you transphobic waste of oxygen.
Eat shit bitch!
Even though Oklahoma stayed red, every county shifted Democrat.
Don’t mess with gas prices or people get upset. Or Texas, I guess
And the Gulf of Mexico is back again!
If we considered '24 as a single point, then regression to the mean (thinking, as is pretty accurate across most states, that the split between d/r is often a few points off of 50/50) would suggest a large swing back towards ‘neutral’ from a +14 point advantage.
So, even discounting the idiocy that is the current american administration and its effects on voters, yes, I would expect most places to vote more democrat.
Let them cry foul! Agree emphatically when they say it was rigged! Encourage them to take up arms. We need an excuse to finish Sherman’s work. Showing them mercy in 1865 was a deadly mistake for us.
As long as conservatives continue to live, they will continue to oppress everyone around them. Always. They will never stop. If we allow them to continue to exist, they will bring us back into fascism. We need to finish them or next time will be MUCH worse for us.
